Economic forecasts and policy /
Theil, Henri.
Economic forecasts and policy / by H. Theil ; assisted by J.S. Cramer, H. Moerman, A. Russchen. - Second revised edition, second printing, 1965. - Amsterdam : North-Holland Publishing Company, 1965. - xxxii, 567 páginas : ilustraciones, gráficas a blanco y negro ; 23 cm. - Contributions to economic analysis / edited by R. Strotz, J. Tinbergen, P.J. Verdoorn, H.J. Witteveen ; XV . - Contributions to economic analysis (North-Holland) .
Preface, xi -- Preface to the second edition, xiii -- Abbreviated contents, xiv -- Table of contents, xv -- List of tables, xxiv -- List of figures, xxix -- 1. Introduction, 1 -- II. Elementary aspects of the methodology of forecasting, 6 -- III. Postwar macroeconomic forecasts in the Netherlands and Scandinavia, 49 -- IV. Accuracy analysis of entrepreneurial predictions by means of business test data, 96 -- V. Underestimation of changes, 154 -- VI. Analysis of interrelationships among expected, planned, and actual prices, 193 -- VII. Forecasts and policy: problems and tools, 372 -- VIII. Forecasts and policy: analysis and applications, 404 -- IX. Conclusion, 539 -- Index, 561.
Predicciones económicas.
HB 3730 / .T44 1965