Methods and techniques of business forecasting / edited by William F. Butler, Robert A. Kavesh, Robert B. Platt.

Preface, ix -- Economic forecasting: some introductory remarks / the editors, 1 -- Part one. The forecaster’s kit of tools, 9 -- Statistical and econometric methods used in business forecasting / John G. Myers, 11 -- Indicator forecasting / Julius Shiskin and Leonarrd H. Lempert, 37 -- Surveys and forecasting / Morris Cohen, 76 -- Federal, State and local budgets / Nancy H. Teeters, 97 -- Sources of data / Justine Rodríguez, 124 -- Part two. Major approaches to business forecasting, 159 -- Econometric models / Michael K. Evans, 161 -- Input-output forecasting / Robert B. Platt, 191 -- Judgmental forecasting of the gross national product / William F. Butler and Robert A. Kavesh, 207 -- Technological forecasting / Arthur Gerstenfeld, 222 -- Part three. Aggregate forecasting in practical, 239 -- Forecasting defense expenditures / Murray L. Weidenbaum, 241 -- A statistical approach forecasting defense expenditures in the short run / Harvey Galper and Edward Gramlich, 250 -- Plant and equipment outlays / Lawrence P. Hawkins, 256 -- Housing and other construction / Robinson Newcomb, 271 -- Inventories / Louis J. Paradiso, 303 -- Financial planning in overseas businesses / James Burtle, 321 -- Assessing the international environment for business / Richard H. Kaufman, 342 -- Forecasting manpower and employment trends / Herbert Bienstock, 354 -- Long-term economic projections / Lawrence A. Mayer, 365 -- Regional and urban forecasting / Karen Gerard, 373 -- Part four. Industry and sales forecasting, 391 -- Sales forecasting / Robert S. Schultz, 393 -- Forecasting the automobile market / Robert J. Eggert and Jone R. Lockshin, 421 -- Economic forecasting in the steel industry / William Hoppe, 454 -- Forecasting national advertising / David M. Blank, 468 -- Part five. Financial forecasting, 477 -- Forecasting monetary policy / George W. McKinney, Jr, and David M, Jones, 479 -- A monetarist approach to forecasting / Leonall C. Andersen, 501 -- Forecasting corporate profits / Edmund A. Mennis, 517 -- How to forecast the stock market / Peter L. Bernstein and David Bostian, Jr., 543 -- Part six. The accuracy of forecasts and their uses by business and government, 563 -- How accurate have the forecasts been? / Victor Zarnowitz, 565 -- Statistical measures of forecast accuracy / Robert B. Platt, 597 -- Reporting forecasts to management and the use of forecasts as a management tool / Walter E. Hoadley, 611 -- Economic forecasting in government / Harold C. Passer and Edgar R. Fiedler, 621 -- Economic consulting / Alan Greenspan and M. Kathryn Eickhoff, 629