Business fluctuations : forecasting tecniques and applications / Dale G. Bails, Larry C. Peppers.

Preface, xi -- Part I. Overview of forecasting and business cycles, 1 -- Chapter 1. Business forecasting: economy, region, industry, and company, 3 -- Chapter 2. Macroeconomic forces: shaping the environment of the business sector, 32 -- Chapter 3. The great recession of 1974-75: monitoring econometric forecasts, 66 -- Part II. Classical time-series decomposition, 99 -- Chapter 4. Forecasting, time-series data analysis, and forecast evaluation, 101 -- Part III. The two-variable regression model, 139 -- Chapter 5. Simple linear regression, 141 -- Part IV. The multiple regression models, 185 -- Chapter 6. Multiple regression models, 185 -- Chapter 7. Advanced topics in regression analysis, 231 -- Chapter 8. Case studies of multiple regression models, 275 -- Part V. Time-series models, 331 -- Chapter 9. Time-series models, 333 -- Chapter 10. Advanced time-series models, 365 -- Part VI. Translating the forecast for management, 393 -- Chapter 11. Communicating forecasts to management, 395 -- List of appendices, 427 -- Indices, 473.