TY  - BOOK
AU  - Moore, Geoffrey Hoyt.
TI  - Business cycles, inflation, and forecasting
T2  - National Bureau of Economic Research. Studies in business cycles
SN  - 0884106853
AV  - HB 3711 .M66 1980
PY  - 1980///
CY  - Cambridge, Massachusett.
PB  - Ballinger Publishing Company
KW  - Ciclos económicos
KW  - Inflación
KW  - Predicciones económicas
N1  - List of tables, xiii --; List of figures, xix --; Introduction, 1 --; Part I. Business Cycles, 11 --; Chapter 1. What is a recession?, 13 --; Chapter 2. Growth cycles: a new-old concept, 21 --; Chapter 3. Lessons of the 1073-1976 recession and recovery, 25 --; Chapter 4. Some secular changes in business cycles, 65 --; Chapter 5. The current state of the international business cycle: a new measurement System, 73 --; Chapter 6. How full is full employment?-Interpreting the unemployment statistics, 109 --; Chapter 7. Presenting employment and unemployment statistics in a business cycle context, 139 --; Chapter 8. The federal deficit as a business cycle stabilizer, 173 --; Chapter 9. Security markets and business cycles, 185 --; Part II. Inflation, 207 --; Chapter 10. Five little-known facts about inflation, 209 --; Chapter 11. The cyclical behavior of prices, 213 --; Chapter 12. Employment, unemployment, and the inflation-recession dilemma, 249 --; Chapter 13. Recession slows inflation, 271 --; Chapter 14. Productivity, costs, and princes: new light from an old hypothesis, 275 --; Chapter 15. Inflation and profits, 293 --; Part III. Forecasting, 299 --; Chapter 16. The analysis of economic indicators, 301 --; Chapter 17. Why the leading indicators really do lead, 321 --; Chapter 18. A new leading indicator of unemployment, 335 --; Chapter 19. When lagging indicators lead: the history of an idea, 341 --; Chapter 20. The forty-second anniversary of the leading indicators, 349 --; Chapter 21. Economic indicators and econometric models, 381 --; Chapter 22. Forecasting short-term economic change, 389 --; Chapter 23. The presidents economic report: A forecasting record, 421 --; Appendix, 437 --; Index, 451 --; About the author, 461
ER  -